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February 14, 2007

Potent prison projections from Pew

As detailed in this press release, The Pew Charitable Trusts today released an important new report entitled "Public Safety, Public Spending: Forecasting America's Prison Population 2007-2011.  The press release has this description of the reader-friendly report (which is available here):

By 2011 one in every 178 U.S. residents will live in prison, according to a new report released today by the Public Safety Performance Project of The Pew Charitable Trusts.  Public Safety, Public Spending: Forecasting America’s Prison Population 2007-2011 projects that by 2011 America will have more than 1.7 million men and women in prison, an increase of more than 192,000 from 2006. That increase could cost taxpayers as much as $27.5 billion over the next five years beyond what they currently spend on prisons.

"As states continue to struggle with tight budgets and competing priorities among health, education and safety, they are beginning to question whether huge additional investments in prisons are the most effective and economical way of combating crime," said Susan Urahn, Managing Director of State Policy Initiatives at The Pew Charitable Trusts.  "The challenge for state policy makers is to ensure that taxpayers are getting a strong return on their investment in corrections: safer communities, efficient use of public dollars, and ex-offenders who become productive, law-abiding members of society."

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February 14, 2007 at 10:01 AM | Permalink


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I recently heard that the number of future prisoners is based on those not reading at a 3d grade level.

I have tried to find evidence of this on google to no avail.

Do you have any research that would lend credence to this "theory" of prision projection?

Posted by: Phyllis T. Albritton | Feb 23, 2007 11:08:31 PM

It is not true that the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation uses data from reading level assessments ito base prison bed projections.

CDCR uses about 100 factors in projecting its future prison and parole populations. The major factors are historical trends of new admissions from courts, length of stay in prison, average length of stay on parole, and the rate of return to prison from parole. CDCR also considers any changes in sentencing practices in the courts, new legislation, and/or new departmental programs and policies that might impact intake or length of stay in prison. If you need additional information, please call (916) 445-4950. Thank you.

Posted by: Terry Thornton | Apr 27, 2007 4:52:24 PM

the people on jail can change their lifes, becouse in the loneliness of their closures can think in all their bad acttions and be a better person.

Posted by: kamagra | Nov 16, 2010 3:15:04 PM

the people on jail can change their lifes, becouse in the loneliness of their closures can think in all their bad acttions and be a better person.

Posted by: newest air jordans | Nov 29, 2010 2:39:34 AM

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Posted by: Apcalis Oral Jelly | Jan 20, 2011 3:40:06 AM

I guess that US has to invert in jail, but not all the budget, because is necessary to invert in education and health

Posted by: Fire Detection | May 14, 2011 4:53:54 PM

At least the government it is investing to make a better jail for all those prisoners. They did something bad but they don't have to pay it in that way for the rest of their lives.

Posted by: xlpharmacy | Oct 19, 2011 1:09:14 PM

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