Tea-leaf analysis of the likely Rodriquez ACCA case outcome

Writing over at CO, Anita Krishnakumar takes up my query about what her great ACCA analysis might mean for Rodriquez, the one last notable ACCA case still pending before the Justices.  Her thoughtful post highlights the unexpected affiliations that these ACCA cases create and ends this way:

So, hazardous though this kind of speculation can be, I am predicting a 5-4 or 6-3 outcome in favor of the defendant in this case.  Of course, if I am wrong about Justice Alito, the case could flip and the government could win.