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May 21, 2009

New Pew report with "evidence-based sentencing initiatives to control crime and reduce costs"

I just learned of a new policy brief from the Pew Public Safety Performance Project, which is titled "Arming the Courts with Research: 10 Evidence-Based Sentencing Initiatives to Control Crime and Reduce Costs."  The policy brief can be accessed at this link, where it is summarized this way:

For many years, conventional wisdom has been that “nothing works” to change offender behavior — that once an offender has turned to crime little can be done to help turn his or her life around. Today, however, there is a voluminous body of solid research showing that certain “evidence-based” sentencing and corrections practices do work and can reduce crime rates as effectively as prisons at much lower cost.

This policy brief outlines 10 strategies for evidence-based sentencing that would allow states to reduce their crime rates while conserving state resources to meet other important needs. The brief is adapted from a longer paper by Roger Warren, president emeritus of the National Center for State Courts, that was originally published in a special 2007 issue of the Indiana Law Journal.

May 21, 2009 at 12:03 PM | Permalink


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Here are some problems with evidence based guidelines.

1) The bias of the guideline maker expresses itself in the selection of the evidence, and failing to mention other evidence rebuts it. These guidelines are Trojan Horses for the bias of this left wing, extremist, hate group. Even the cult criminal lawyer openly states he is presenting one sided evidence as an advocate. They do not, and one is misled.

2) It is based on studies of samples of large populations. There are many places where the assumptions can be violated. The most important assumption is random selection. This is tough to do in a correctional setting. The bell shape curve describe the distributions of the populations and that of their samplings. Problem. Individual decision making has a different curve, the binomial distribution, like the statistics of coin tossing. This is from 11th grade statistics. Not acknowledged. Applying parametric statistical studies (bell shape curved) to binomial distribution situations makes the guideline garbage.

3) They change quickly. They reflect the thinking of 5 years ago, and are obsolete.

Posted by: Supremacy Claus | May 21, 2009 5:47:06 PM

No mention of the drop in crime from 1994.

No mention of the sicko supernatural, Medieval garbage core doctrines.

No mention of the V word.

This is just another left wing Trojan Horse, to loose vicious predators, and to generate worthless government make work.

Posted by: Supremacy Claus | May 22, 2009 6:49:09 AM

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