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August 3, 2013

"Violence will rise as climate changes, scientists predict"

The title of this post is the headline of this recent Los Angeles Times article, which suggests that environmentalists might try to pitch conservatives that limiting carbon emissions is key to ensuring public safety.  Here is how the piece starts:

Long before scientists began to study global warming, author Raymond Chandler described the violent effects of dry, "oven-hot" Santa Ana winds gusting through the city of Los Angeles. "Every booze party ends in a fight," he wrote in his 1938 story "Red Wind." "Meek little wives feel the edge of the carving knife and study their husband's necks. Anything can happen."

While social commentators have long suggested that extreme heat can unleash the beast in man, formal study of the so-called heat hypothesis — the theory that high temperatures fuel aggressive and violent behavior — is relatively new. Using examples as disparate as road rage, ancient wars and Major League Baseball, scientists have taken early steps to quantify the potential influence of climate warming on human conflict.

Now, three UC Berkeley researchers have pulled together data from these and other studies and concluded that the incidence of war and civil unrest may increase by as much as 56% between now and 2050, due to warmer temperature and extreme rainfall patterns predicted by climate change scientists.

Likewise, episodes of interpersonal violence — murder, assault, rape, domestic abuse — could increase by as much as 16%, they report in a study published Thursday by the journal Science. "We find strong causal evidence linking climatic events to human conflict … across all major regions of the world," the researchers concluded.

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August 3, 2013 at 05:21 PM | Permalink

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"Now, three UC Berkeley researchers have pulled together data from these and other studies and concluded that the incidence of war and civil unrest may increase by as much as 56% between now and 2050, due to warmer temperature and extreme rainfall patterns predicted by climate change scientists."

I'm old enough to remember when stuff like this was called "voodoo."

Posted by: Bill Otis | Aug 3, 2013 6:57:52 PM

Voodoo science by lettered IDIOTS.

Let's see. The temperatures and rainfall lately are "supposed" to be at all time "extremes" (they have leveled in the last 15 years), yet the crime rate is down over the same period. Talk about blowing gas (and I don't mean carbon dioxide) out of where the sun don't shine.

Seeing that the US is contributing less while the rest of the world increases their output of "greenhouse gasses", what is a poor liberal to do, except sing for a rock and roll band.

O Yeah! Kill more migratory birds with windmills. I would like to know what federal joker reviewed that Environmental Impact Statement. Probably the Supreme Court.

Posted by: albeed | Aug 3, 2013 10:42:42 PM

Odd that the temperatures did not stifle the Korean Conflict , the Battle of the Bulge , Operation Barbarossa , etc .

Posted by: Just Plain Jim | Aug 4, 2013 5:47:21 AM

We are overdue for the start of the next Ice Age. I pray we will not have a mile high glacier over Manhattan, as we did the last time. That will suppress crime in New York, I agree.

Posted by: Supremacy Claus | Aug 4, 2013 6:57:03 AM

If that's true, how do account for 10 years of declining temperatures and wars in the Middle East?

Posted by: MikeinCT | Aug 4, 2013 11:30:16 AM

http://www.volokh.com/2013/08/03/how-not-to-convince-republicans-to-address-climate-change/

Talking about "conservatives" (see his first link) and climate change.

Posted by: Joe | Aug 4, 2013 3:33:04 PM

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