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September 28, 2015

FBI releases national crime data reporting 2014 continued historic crime declines

If there was a close causal inverse relationship between crime and nationwide sentencing and prison reforms, one might have reasonably expected crime rates to have started moving up in recent years.  After all, at the federal level there have been dramatic reforms over the last decade ranging from (1) the Supreme Court's Booker ruling making the guidelines advisory and various other rulings restricting in the reach of other mandatory sentencing provisions, (2) the US Sentencing Commission repeatedly reducing the severity of the sentencing guidelines for crack offenses and other drugs and other offenses, and (3) Congress enacting the Fair Sentencing Act.  During the same period, many states north and south, east and west (including California and Texas, the two states with the largest prison populations), have reformed sentencing laws and prison policies in various ways.  

But, as this new press release from the FBI reports, the "estimated number of violent crimes in the nation decreased 0.2 percent in 2014 when compared with 2013 data, according to FBI figures released today. Property crimes decreased by 4.3 percent, marking the 12th straight year the collective estimates for these offenses declined."  Here is more of the good crime news via the FBI:

The 2014 statistics show the estimated rate of violent crime was 365.5 offenses per 100,000 inhabitants, and the property crime rate was 2,596.1 offenses per 100,000 inhabitants. The violent crime rate declined 1.0 percent compared to the 2013 rate, and the property crime rate declined 5.0 percent. These and additional data are presented in the 2014 edition of the FBI’s annual report Crime in the United States. This publication, which is a statistical compilation of offense, arrest, and police employee data reported by law enforcement agencies voluntarily participating in the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program, also includes limited federal crime reporting and human trafficking data.

The UCR Program collects information on crimes reported by law enforcement agencies regarding the violent crimes of murder and non-negligent manslaughter, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault as well as the property crimes of burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, and arson.... The program also collects arrest data for the offenses listed above plus 20 offenses that include all other crimes except traffic violations....

A total of 18,498 city, county, state, university and college, tribal, and federal agencies participated in the UCR Program in 2014. A high-level summary of the statistics reported by these agencies, which are included in Crime in the United States, 2014, follows:

  • In 2014, there were an estimated 1,165,383 violent crimes. Murder and non-negligent manslaughter decreased 0.5 percent and robbery decreased 5.6 percent when compared with estimates from 2013. Rape (legacy definition) and aggravated assault, however, increased 2.4 percent and 2.0 percent, respectively.

  • Nationwide, there were an estimated 8,277,829 property crimes. The estimated numbers of each of the property crimes show declines when compared with the previous year’s estimates. Burglaries dropped 10.5 percent, larceny-thefts declined 2.7 percent, and motor vehicle thefts were down 1.5 percent.

September 28, 2015 at 11:18 AM | Permalink


Worthless, Obama administration government propaganda. Just lies.

Posted by: Supremacy Claus | Sep 28, 2015 12:17:26 PM

Stupidity is much worse than ferocity.

Posted by: claudio giusti | Sep 28, 2015 4:44:22 PM

One has to add to these statistics the non-reported crime rate.

"In 2014, 46 percent of violent victimizations, 56 percent of serious violent victimizations and 37 percent of property victimizations were reported to police. There was no significant change in the percentage of violent, serious violent or property victimizations reported to police from the prior year. The overall rate of property crime reported to police decreased from 47.4 to 43.7 victimizations per 1,000 households from 2013 to 2014." From the very same Obama pro-criminal DOJ.

Posted by: Supremacy Claus | Sep 28, 2015 6:00:43 PM

How, by all means, should National Register of Exonerations show truth if US wonderful justice system is fond of Institutional Blackmailing: >>Confess to the crime and we, the OR Governor, release act of grace. Inmate's fair response: "I did not shoot my children and I won't say I did just to get out of prison. I will stay here in prison and rot rather than say I shot my children." As early as 2007, there was an unsuccessful attempt at blackmail by Judge Malcolm F. Marsh, who stated: “Notably, Downs has not accepted responsibility for her crimes of conviction, and maintains to this day that the state authorities framed her.”<<

Back to reentry. World Leading Jailer Land struggles along Justice Reform and Reentry organization since many years:
Joan Petersilia (http://www.law.stanford.edu/node/166319 + http://socialecology.uci.edu/faculty/jrpeters/ ) wrote
- When Prisoners Come Home: Parole and Prisoner Reentry, University of Chicago Press, 2003
- Reforming Probation and Parole in the 21st Century, American Correctional Association, 2002
- CRIME: Public Policies for Crime Control, ICS Press, 2002 (with James Q. Wilson) https://www.ccja-acjp.ca/en/cjcr100/cjcr142.html Community Corrections (1998)
- Prisons, edited with Michael Tonry (1999)
- Criminal Justice Policy (1998)
- Crime, edited with James Q. Wilson (1995)
- "When Prisoners Return to Communities: Political, Economic, and Social Consequences" (2000) http://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles1/nij/184253.pdf
As well your colleague Margaret Talbot, Catch and Release; The Atlantic Monthly | February 1, 2003 http://www.newamerica.net/publications/articles/2003/catch_and_release

If then, after more than a decade, nothing happened - at the time TIP BILL (Truth-In-Parole Bill) is discussed in NYC - we may consider about the real reasons in most traditional justice field of society.

Posted by: Franz Kurz | Sep 30, 2015 10:27:12 AM

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