Interesting and encouraging new Gallup numbers on reports of crime victimization

As reported in this new posting from Gallup, "Twenty-two percent of Americans say a conventional crime was committed against their household in the previous 12 months, the lowest proportion since 2001." Here is more:

Over the past decade, the percentage reporting their household was victimized by any of seven different crimes averaged 26% and never dropped below 24%.

Gallup began computing its annual index of self-reported crime victimization in 2000.  The index is based on the "yes" responses from U.S. adults as to whether they or anyone in their household was the victim of any of seven common crimes -- ranging from vandalism to violent crimes -- in the past 12 months.

This year's drop in crime was not reported across all groups equally. Nonwhites and those with annual household incomes under $40,000 are about as likely this year as they were in 2016 to say their household had experienced a crime.  Some crimes were also much more likely to occur than others:

• 12% said someone in their household had money or property stolen, down from 17% in 2016.
• 10% were the victims of vandalism, down from 14% last year.
• 3% had their house or apartment broken into, down from 5%.
• 3% had an automobile stolen, compared with 4% in 2016.
• 2% said someone in their household was mugged or physically assaulted, compared with 3% last year.
• 2% said someone in their household was sexually assaulted, compared with 1% in 2016.
• 1% had money or property taken by force with a gun, a knife, another weapon or physical attack, compared with 2% in 2016....

In all cases, the crime may or may not have been reported to the police. Some official statistics on crime rely only on counts of crimes reported to police, so they may underestimate crime incidence. Not included in the list are digital crimes such as identity theft or computer hacking, which will be the subject of a future Gallup report....

Americans ranked crime as one of the nation's most important problems two decades ago, but the combination of dramatically falling crime rates through most of the 1990s and the rise of other issues in the new century pushed it down the priority list of national problems.

With at least one in four American households victimized by crime every year from 2008 through last year, however, the threat of crime has continued to be a concern for many Americans.

Theories abound for why crime rates rise and fall, and it is too early to know whether this year's drop in reported crime will be sustained. But at worst, it ends the increase of recent years and, at best, it holds the potential to signal further reductions in crime in the future.