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June 28, 2018

"Betting Odds for Next Supreme Court Justice: Who Will Replace Anthony Kennedy?"

Especially in light of the Supreme Court's work earlier this Term in Murphy v. National Collegiate Athletic Association to allow states to move forward with sports betting, I could not resist posting this article from The Action Network with the headline that serves as the title for this post. Here is some of its content:

Justice Anthony Kennedy, 81, dropped a political bombshell on Wednesday afternoon, unexpectedly announcing his retirement from the Supreme Court. Kennedy’s retirement, which will take effect on July 31, has massive ramifications on the political landscape. Kennedy was considered the swing vote on the Supreme Court. He was a Republican, but switched sides often to vote with the Democrats, most notably in favor of abortion rights and same-sex marriage.

With Kennedy gone, President Trump gets a second Supreme Court pick. Trump is expected to nominate a staunch conservative in the mold of Neil Gorsuch, whom he tapped in 2017. Republicans will look to fill the seat before midterm elections in the fall....

Pres. Trump says his potential nominee to replace Justice Kennedy will come from a previously released list of 25 names, including judges, retired judges, and a member of Congress.... Offshore sportsbooks across the market didn’t take long to post odds for Kennedy’s replacement.

At Bovada, Brett Kavanaugh opened as the favorite at +175. Kavanaugh is a former White House lawyer for George W. Bush who was confirmed to the U.S. Court of Appeals in Washington in 2006.  Thomas Hardiman, a U.S. Court of Appeals judge for the Third Circuit, is next on the list at +350.  Hardiman was considered a finalist to succeed the late Antonin Scalia in 2016, but lost out to Gorsuch.

If I was inclined to bet on this kind of stuff, I think I would see Amy Coney Barrett at +450 and Amul Thapar at +500 to be good value plays.  But Don Willett at +2500 might be fun and worth a few bucks just for the Twitter fun.

June 28, 2018 at 09:16 AM | Permalink


Trump should nominate a young woman with a solid track record of pro-freedom, anti-legislating from the bench decisions.

Posted by: David Behar | Jun 28, 2018 10:17:28 PM

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