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February 10, 2022
US Sentencing Commission releases big new report on "Recidivism of Federal Violent Offenders Released in 2010"
As I keep noting in recent years, it is has been great to see the US Sentencing Commission continuing to produce a lot of useful data reports even as its policy work is necessarily on hiatus due to a lack of confirmed Commissioners. The latest example released today is this 116-page new report titled "Recidivism of Federal Violent Offenders Released in 2010." This USSC webpage provides an overview of the report along with a bunch of "Key Findings," some of which are reprinted here:
Overview
This report is the third in a series continuing the Commission’s research of the recidivism of federal offenders. It provides an overview of the recidivism of the 13,883 federal violent offenders released from incarceration or sentenced to a term of probation in 2010, combining data regularly collected by the Commission with data compiled from criminal history records from the Federal Bureau of Investigation. This report provides an overview of recidivism for these offenders and information on key offender and offense characteristics related to recidivism. This report also compares recidivism outcomes for federal violent offenders released in 2010 to non-violent offenders in the study group....
Key Findings
- This study demonstrated substantially greater recidivism among violent federal offenders compared to non-violent federal offenders.
- The recidivism rates of violent and non-violent offenders released in 2005 and 2010 remained unchanged despite two intervening major developments in the federal criminal justice system — the Supreme Court’s decision in Booker and increased use of evidence-based practices in federal supervision.
- This finding is consistent with other Commission reports demonstrating higher recidivism among violent offenders...
- Violent offenders recidivated at a higher rate than non-violent offenders. Over an eight-year follow-up period, nearly two-thirds (63.8%) of violent offenders released in 2010 were rearrested, compared to more than one-third (38.4%) of non-violent offenders.
- Violent offenders recidivated more quickly than non-violent offenders. The median time to rearrest was 16 months for violent offenders and 22 months for non-violent offenders.
- Among offenders who were rearrested, violent offenders were rearrested for a violent offense at a higher rate than non-violent offenders, 38.9 percent compared to 22.0 percent.
- Assault was the most common type of rearrest for both violent and non-violent offenders, but a larger proportion of violent offenders (24.9%) than non-violent offenders (15.4%) were rearrested for assault.
- Age at release is strongly correlated with recidivism for both violent and non-violent offenders. Rearrest rates decrease steadily with each age group for both groups of offenders. However, violent offenders had higher rearrest rates than non-violent offenders in each age group. Among offenders aged 60 and older, the oldest group of offenders studied, 25.1 percent of violent offenders were rearrested compared to 11.5 percent of non-violent offenders.
- Criminal History Category (CHC) is strongly correlated with recidivism for both violent and non-violent offenders. Rearrest rates increase steadily with each CHC for both groups of offenders. However, violent offenders had higher rearrest rates than non-violent offenders in every CHC. Analyzed separately, violent instant offenders (59.9%) and violent prior offenders (64.8%) were rearrested at a higher rate than non-violent offenders (38.4%)....
- The current recidivism findings for violent and non-violent offenders released in 2010 replicate the Commission’s findings for offenders released in 2005. Nearly two-thirds (63.8%) of violent offenders released in 2010 were rearrested, the same rate for violent offenders released in 2005 (63.8%). More than one-third (38.4%) of non-violent offenders released in 2010 were rearrested, a comparable rate to non-violent offenders released in 2005 (39.8%).
February 10, 2022 at 10:51 AM | Permalink
Comments
Why is the length the violent offender serves in federal prison have nothing to do with this study. Or did I overlook this on the article? The study seems very bias or again I might have no clue how all this works.
Posted by: Demi Jex | Feb 10, 2022 2:58:03 PM
Demi Jex - take a look at Page 77 - Figure 47 - provides some additional answers specifically - When controlling for CHC, a correlation between sentence length and CHC emerged for violent prior offenders in some CHCs. With the exception of violent prior offenders in CHC II and VI, there was a consistent correlation between longer sentences and lower rearrest rates (Figure 47). In addition, violent prior offenders sentenced to the longest terms of imprisonment had the lowest rearrest rates in each CHC.
Posted by: atomicfrog | Feb 10, 2022 3:21:55 PM
More evidence that violent offenders need longer sentences, and nonviolent offenders need shorter sentences, in comparison to what they have been getting in practice.
Posted by: William C Jockusch | Feb 13, 2022 8:42:49 AM
This study is 12 years old. I understand to compile for that many years is astounding and possibly helpful on some level. My issue is how violent offenders are grouped on their past with little, If any, taken into account those who have reformed while incarcerated. Sentencing should be based also on the individual and not risk assessments and studies.
Posted by: Julie Van Hook | Mar 19, 2022 12:06:54 PM