You be the federal judge: what sentence for Sean "Diddy" Combs for two felony prostitution convictions?

I was enjoying the great outdoors this morning when I heard the news of the (surprising?) split verdict in the high-profile federal trial of Sean 'Diddy' Combs.  This Reuters article provides the basics:

Sean "Diddy" Combs was cleared on Wednesday of sex trafficking and racketeering charges that could have put him behind bars for life but found guilty of lesser prostitution-related offenses, in a blow to prosecutors who said the music mogul used "violence and fear" to abuse women.  The verdict is overall a win for Combs, a former billionaire known for elevating hip-hop in American culture.

The 12-member jury unanimously convicted him on two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution, but acquitted Combs of racketeering conspiracy and two counts of sex trafficking two of his former romantic partners: the rhythm and blues singer Casandra "Cassie" Ventura, and a woman known in court by the pseudonym Jane.

After the judge dismissed the jury and lawyers for both sides, Combs knelt before his chair and appeared to pray. Combs then rose and faced the courtroom gallery. “I’m gonna be home soon,” he said, smiling and clasping his hands. “I love you. Thank you, I love you.” Combs’ family and supporters erupted into applause and cheers.

Combs, 55, who had pleaded not guilty to all five counts, faces a maximum 10-year prison sentence on each of the two prostitution counts. Prosecutors acknowledged in a court filing that federal sentencing guidelines appeared to recommend a maximum sentence of 5-1/4 years. Combs' lawyers argued that two years would be the outer limit.

This New York Post piece, headlined "Diddy likely to be sentenced to months, not years over prostitution conviction: expert," provides some more sentencing context:

Hip-hop mogul Sean “Diddy” Combs is likely to serve months — not years — behind bars in what may be the most expensive prostitution trial in American history, experts said after a stunning verdict Wednesday morning.

The 55-year-old rapper will probably get a much lighter sentence than the 20 years maximum he faces for his two prostitution charge convictions stemming from shipping escorts across state lines, former federal prosecutor Mitchell Epner told The Post....

“The convictions for interstate transportation for purposes of prostitution likely will lead to a sentence that will be measured in months, not years,” Epner said. “The starting point under the US Sentencing Guidelines will be a sentencing range of 15 to 21 months.” That sentencing range will be argued by lawyers on both sides and so could end up being a different figure than that starting point.

Combs, however, has already been in jail for nearly 10 months since his Sept. 16 arrest — meaning he may have already served most of his time when he’s sentenced, possibly a few months from now.

I will need to do a future post to discuss all sorts of sentencing issues lurking here, especially the "acquitted conduct" questions.  Notably, Combs will be the beneficiary of the recently amended guidelines stating that acquitted conduct is not to be used in the calculation of the guideline range. But, critically, Judge Arun Subramanian is still allowed to consider acquitted conduct in his exercise of sentencing discretion (and prosecutors can advocate that he do so). However, given the high-profile nature of this case, Judge  Subramania may seek to evade any discussion of acquitted conduct.

So, dear readers, you have a range of zero to 20 years in federal prison based ont he two counts of conviction (though any sentence less than a year will be essentially a sentence of time served).  What sentence?

UPDATE:  In submissions concerning bail pending sentencing, prosecutors calculate the applicable guidleline range to be 51-63 months and the defense calculates the range to be 21-27 months.  Hmm.